Betting on the 2021 Tour of Flanders

2021-Tour-Flanders-Cyclists

On Sunday, April 4th, the 105th edition of the Tour of Flanders (Ronde van Vlaanderen) gets underway as pro cycling heads to Belgium for the most significant cycling race of Flanders.

The Tour of Flanders is also considered one of cycling’s five monuments along with being one of two major Cobbled Classics races. The other being Paris-Roubaix which takes place on April 11th.

This race is packed with history and excitement. The first event was held in 1913 and only took a break in 1919 due to World War I. It has run uninterrupted since then, which is longer than any other Classic race. Last year, the event was moved to October due to the pandemic.

For the 2021 edition, all of the top Classics riders will be participating in this race including stars of the sport like Matthieu Van Der Poel, Wout Van Aert, Julian Alaphilippe, and Peter Sagan.

Cycling betting sites have released their odds for this great Cobbled Classic. Let’s examine the current Tour of Flanders odds, look at a few prop bets, and see if we can make some race winning predictions.

The 2021 Tour of Flanders Race Course

As they have since 2017, riders will start the race in Antwerp and travel over 254km to the finish in Oudenaarde.

However, there were a few minor adjustments in order to make the race more difficult and less predictable. Most notably, this year’s edition will have 19 climbs and 17 cobbled sectors.

The race is relatively flat for the first 100km, but the peloton will have to be on high alert for breakaways and crosswinds.

After the first 100km, the field will hit their first climb, which will be the Kattenberg. From there, riders will have to face a succession of climbs that will certainly break up the field and become even more compelling for fans watching in person or at home.

From 150km onward, this race becomes very difficult as the riders continuously face one climb after another including some of the hardest ascents in the region. To make things even more difficult, almost all of these climbs are lined with cobblestones.

Although the race won’t be won on any of these climbs or cobbled sections, it can certainly be lost for many riders.

This year, pundits expect that the final ascensions up the Oude Kwaremont and the Paterberg will decide the race.

The beautiful scenery of @Stad_Antwerpen and its ‘Schelde’ is iconic for the start of the Tour of Flanders! Thank you for welcoming us ? ? #RVV #RVV21 pic.twitter.com/ekkBaetT32

— Ronde Van Vlaanderen (@RondeVlaanderen) April 1, 2021

Previous Tour of Flanders Winners

The first Tour of Flanders was held in 1913 and won by Paul Deman of Belgium. Like many other major cycling races, the home country has won the most times.

In this race, Belgians have won 69 times with Italy and the Netherlands tied for 2nd at 11 wins apiece. Mathieu Van Der Poel is the defending champion having won the 2020 edition.

The following is a list of race winners dating back to 2005:

2005: Tom Boonen
2006: Tom Boonen
2007: Alessandro Ballan
2008: Stijn Devolder
2009: Stijn Devolder
2010: Fabian Cancellara
2011: Nick Nuyens
2012: Tom Boonen
2013: Fabian Cancellara
2014: Fabian Cancellara
2015: Alexander Kristoff
2016: Peter Sagan
2017: Philippe Gilbert
2018: Niki Terpstra
2019: Alberto Bettiol
2020: Mathieu Van Der Poel

Six men are tied for the most all-time wins at three apiece: Archiel Buysse, Fiorenzo Magni, Eric Leman, Johan Museeuw, Tom Boonen, and Fabian Cancellara.

Tour of Flanders Betting Odds

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Mathieu Van Der Poel (+150)
Wout Van Aert (+400)
Julian Alaphilippe (+650)
Peter Sagan (+1400)
Remco Evenepoel (+1400)
Marc Hirschi (+1800)
Davide Ballerini (+2000)
Greg Van Avermaet (+2500)
Alberto Bettiol (+2800)
Oliver Naesen (+2800)
Florian Senechal+3000)
Kasper Asgreen (+3000)
Mads Pedersen (+3000)
Philippe Gilbert (+3000)
Primoz Roglic (+3000)
Zdenek Stybar (+3000)
Alexander Kristoff (+3300)
Michal Kwiatkowski (+3300)
Sep Vanmarcke (+3300)
Jasper Stuyven (+4000)
Matteo Trentin (+4000)
Michael Valgren (+4000)
Niki Terpstra (+4000)
Soren Kragh Andersen (+4000)
Yves Lampaert (+4000)
Bob Jungels (+5000)
Matej Mohoric (+5000)
Maximilian Schachmann (+5000)
Michael Matthews (+5000)
Remi Cavagna (+5000)

There are some big discrepancies between online betting sites regarding the odds for various cyclists. Make sure to shop around for the best odds on any cyclist you deem worthy of a wager.

Tour of Flanders Betting Favorites

The following cyclists are considered the odds on favorites to win the Tour of Flanders:

Mathieu Van Der Poel (+150)

As mentioned above, Van Der Poel is the defending champ for this race having outsprinted Wout Van Aert last year for the win.

At Bovada, he’s the odds on favorite to win the race. However, at DraftKings, he’s the second betting favorite behind Van Aert at +300 odds. So, the value for MVDP is definitely at DraftKings.

On the season Van Der Poel has battled Van Aert and others to capture some victories already. He won a stage in the UAE Tour in February, dominated at Strade Bianche for the win in March, and took two stages at Tirreno-Adriatico a few weeks ago.

Van Der Poel finished 6th at Milano-Sanremo and 3rd at E3. But, he had a very poor showing on March 31st at the Dwars door Vlaanderen which is a warmup for the Tour of Flanders. MVDP finished 58th overall and after the race said that he just didn’t have the legs.

For his sake, he will need to recover quickly and find his legs before Sunday’s race if he hopes to keep up with the other top competitors and/or win the race.

This will be his third appearance in the Tour of Flanders. In addition to last year’s victory, Van Der Poel also finished 4th in 2019.

Wout Van Aert (+400)

The value for Van Aert is with Bovada as he’s listed at +400 to win the Tour of Flanders. With other online cycling betting sites, WVA is listed at +250 odds.

The Belgian rider is coming into this weekend with a lot of confidence and a lot of determination to win arguably the biggest race for his country.

On the season, Van Aert has had a lot of success in just a handful of races. He was 4th at Strade Bianche, but had a great performance in the Tirreno-Adriatico where he won two stages including the time trial, won the points classification, and finished 2nd overall in the general classification.

He followed that up with a 3rd at Milano-Sanremo, but had a bit of a disappointing performance at E3 where he was 11th overall. However, he crushed the field at Gent-Wevelgem last weekend as he won the race.

This will be Van Aert’s 4th appearance in the Tour of Flanders. In addition to his 2nd place result last year, he was 14th in 2019 and 9th in 2018.

Julian Alaphilippe (+650)

Other than Van Aert, there’s arguably no other rider more determined to win this race than Alaphilippe. Last year, he was with Van Der Poel and Van Aert in a three-man breakaway for the win. Unfortunately, he crashed into a Moto and broke his hand.

This year, Alaphilippe took some time off to prepare for Flanders and is surrounded by the best team in the race. He will have other high quality riders of the peloton helping him out like Zdenek Stybar, Yves Lampaert and Kasper Asgreen.

Unlike his contemporaries like Van Aert and Van Der Poel, Alaphilippe hasn’t had as much success in 2021 like they have.

He did win a stage in the Tirreno-Adriatico for his only victory of the season and it was an uphill finish where he beat Van Der Poel and Van Aert.

Yet, he hasn’t performed as well in most of his other appearances except for Strade Bianche where he was 2nd overall. As mentioned above, Van Der Poel won that race.

In Milano-Sanremo, Julian finished 16th. At Dwars door Vlaanderen, he finished 22nd. Although that was better than Van Der Poel, he’s going to need to show his top form from the last few years to have any shot at winning this race on Sunday.

Alaphilippe is listed with +650 odds at Bovada, but can be had at +800 with DraftKings.

Peter Sagan (+1400)

The talk surrounding Peter Sagan a few weeks ago was that his form is terrible due to a prolonged recovery from covid.

Many pundits and fans speculated that Sagan’s best days might be behind him. Well, the rock star of cycling has quieted those doubters after his last two races.

Sagan had a strong performance at Milano-Sanremo where he finished 4th. He followed that up with a stage win at the Volta a Catalunya and a 3rd place in the points classification. Sagan showed that his form is back and he will look to continue that success this weekend.

This will be Sagan’s 10th appearance in the Tour of Flanders. He won the race in 2016 and also finished runner up in 2013. His other top performances were 4th in 2015 and 5th in 2012. Last year, Sagan was 11th.

You can find Sagan with odds listed between +1400 and +2200 depending on which sports betting site you look at.

Remco Evenepoel and Marc Hirschi

Although Bovada lists these two cyclists, they are not expected to participate in this weekend’s race. As always, make sure you double check that the cyclist you want to bet on is actually going to start the event. Other sports betting websites don’t even have Hirschi or Evenepoel listed.

The strongest classical riders in the peloton are heading to the 1️⃣0️⃣5️⃣th edition of the Tour of Flanders! ? The countdown has begun ? #RVV21 #RVVMen

Provisional start list ? https://t.co/Xd7vvSyO96 pic.twitter.com/8h6i4DBGoF

— Ronde Van Vlaanderen (@RondeVlaanderen) March 30, 2021

The Best Tour of Flanders Betting Value

The following cyclists offer value based on their current odds, their past success in this race, and their 2021 season to date:

Greg Van Avermaet (+2500)

Van Avermaet can be found with odds ranging from +2500 to +4000, which is great value for one of the sport’s top one-day riders.

So far, 2021 has been a decent year for GVA as he’s consistently finished in the Top 15 for many of the Classics and a few Stage Races as well.

Most notably, Avermaet was 19th at Strade-Bianche, 5th on Stage 3 of Tirreno-Adriatico, 13th at Milano-Sanremo, 6th at E3, 12th at Gent-Wevelgem, and 7th at Dwars door Vlaanderen.

For Avermaet, this will be his 14th appearance in the Tour of Flanders. He has five Top 5s and eight Top 10s in 13 previous starts. GVA was runner up in 2014 and 2017. He didn’t compete in last year’s event.

Kasper Asgreen (+3000)

As mentioned, Asgreen is on the same team as Alaphilippe which means he won’t get the leader’s treatment. But, if anything happens to Julian then you can expect Asgreen to step up.

His season has been a mixed bag of success as he’s been in the support role for many races. However, when able to compete for personal glory, Asgreen would go on to win the E3 last week.

This will be his 3rd appearance in the Tour of Flanders. He was 13th last year and 2nd in 2019. Asgreen’s odds can be found at a range of +1400 to +3000.

He’s viewed as one of the favorites at other cycling betting sites, but is more of a midrange bet for Bovada.

Alexander Kristoff (+3300)

Kristoff is the former 2015 Tour of Flanders winner. He will team up with Matteo Trentin for UAE-Team Emirates with the hopes that one of them can compete for the race win.

It’s Clear That His Best Days as the Sport’s Top Sprinter Are Over With

But, the Norwegian still has some power left for Classics like Flanders. His best performances of the season so far have been a 6th on Stage 5 of Paris-Nice and a 6th at Dwars door Vlaanderen this week which is a good sign that his legs are ready for the Tour of Flanders.

This will be his 10th appearance at Flanders. In his previous nine starts, Kristoff has seven Top 5s and Seven Top 10s. His worst finish was 16th in 2018. He finished 3rd last year and in 2019 as well.

Despite not being one of the best sprinters anymore, Kristoff has still showed that he’s a contender for the Tour of Flanders. His odds can be found listed between +3300 and +4000.

Jasper Stuyven (+4000)

Stuyven shocked the field with a win at Milano-Sanremo where he took advantage of the lead pack of riders looking at each other instead of racing for the win. Stuyven broke away from the lead pack and stole the victory.

He would then go on to finish 14th at E3 and 10th at Dwars door Vlaanderen showing that he’s got the legs to compete with the top Classics riders.

Stuyven would need a similar scenario to play out on Sunday like it did at Milano-Sanremo in order to win the Tour of Flanders. His odds range from +3300 to +4000.

Matteo Trentin (+4000)

As mentioned, Trentin will team up with Kristoff on Sunday to try and get their UAE-Team Emirates a signature Classics win.

Trentin has had an up and down season so far depending on what his roles have been. In stage races, he was there to support his leader. In one-day races, he’s been able to shine a little bit more.

Trentin finished 12th at Milano-Sanremo, 18th at E3, 3rd at Gent-Wevelgem and 20th at Dwars door Vlaanderen.

This will be his 9th appearance in the Tour of Flanders. He’s never finished higher than 13th in this race. I suspect that he will help Kristoff on Sunday. But, if Alexander’s legs aren’t there then Trentin will be the one to go for the win. His odds can be found between +4000 and +6600.

The Top Tour of Flanders Longshot

Michael Matthews has fared well in 2020 so far. Although he hasn’t had a win yet, Matthews has finished in the Top 6 for several races.

At Paris-Nice, Matthews finished 3rd on two different stages, which led to a 4th place result in the points classification. He followed that up with a 6th at Milano-Sanremo. Last week, he was 5th at Gent-Wevelgem which was just his 4th race of the season.

Matthews’ form is getting better and he’s built in a similar mold as Sagan just without the same level of success.

This will be his 2nd appearance in the Tour of Flanders. His lone start was in 2019 where he finished 6th overall. His odds can be found listed at a range of +5000 to +6600.

Which Riders Will Finish in the Top 3?

The following cyclists are the odds on favorites to finish in the Top 3 according to DraftKings:

Wout Van Aert (-155)
Mathieu Van Der Poel (-125)
Julian Alaphilippe (+175)
Kasper Asgreen (+500)
Peter Sagan (+600)
Florian Senechal (+600)
Zdenek Stybar (+650)
Dylan van Baarle (+600)
Yves Lampaert (+700)

Most online betting sites and cycling websites have Wout Van Aert, Mathieu Van Der Poel pegged to be the Top 3 riders for the Tour of Flanders.

It might sound like a broken record, but these are the three top Classics riders or one-day riders in the sport today. Of that trio, Alaphilippe has the largest odds at +175. For how talented they are, all of them offer betting value with their Top 3 odds.

Will @mathieuvdpoel and @WoutvanAert showcase another nail-biting spectacle in this year’s edition? ? We will find out in less than one month… ? #RVV pic.twitter.com/Ds8HuH2yaI

— Ronde Van Vlaanderen (@RondeVlaanderen) March 9, 2021

If you are looking for a rider to crash the party and steal one of the Top 3 spots from the trio mentioned above then keep your eyes on Peter Sagan the former Tour of Flanders winner. Sagan is looking strong again and will continue to improve his overall conditioning.

With that said, the smart play is to take Van Aert, Van Der Poel, and Alaphilippe to all finish in the Top 3. That would’ve been the case last year if it weren’t for a freak crash for Alaphilippe.

Tour of Flanders Top 3 Picks:

Wout Van Aert
Mathieu Van Der Poel
Julian Alaphilippe to finish in the Top 3

What Will Be the Time Difference Between 1st and 2nd Place?

1 second or less (+110)
2 seconds or more (-155)

Here’s an interesting prop bet that asks how close the time will be between the 1st and 2nd place riders.

Last year, Van Der Poel beat Van Aert by a fraction of a second as they sprinted to the line. In 2019, Bettiol won by 14 seconds. From 2018 to 2016, the winner finished at least 12 seconds ahead of the runner up.

Back in 2015, Kristoff edged out Terpstra by a fraction of a second. In 2014, Fabian Cancellara edged out three other riders in a sprint where he won by a fraction of a second. And in 2013, Cancellara won by 87 seconds.

Basically, this prop bet is asking us whether or not we believe there will be a sprint to the line. Although the odds favor the finishing time between the top two riders to be more than 2 seconds, I believe it will be less.

I see another sprint finish between the combination of Van Aert, Van Der Poel, and Alaphilippe. I also like the value with the +110 odds for this prop bet.

Difference Btwn. 1st and 2nd –1 Sec. or Less (+110)

To Win Prop Bet

In this prop bet, we’re looking at whether or not Van Aert, Van Der Poel or Alaphilippe will in the race. Odds favor that they will with a line of -135. If you don’t think one of them will win then you can go with the No option at -105 odds.

For me, I am all-in on one of these three riders winning on Sunday. They’re the cream of the crop in these Classics and the Tour of Flanders is perfectly suited for all three of them.

This prop bet is the closest thing to easy money!

Will Van Aert, Der Poel, or Alaphilippe Win? –Yes (-135)

Who Will Win the 2021 Tour of Flanders?

As mentioned above, I believe the Tour of Flanders will come down to the trio of Alaphilippe, Van Der Poel and Van Aert. This was exactly how last year’s race was finishing up in the final kilometers before Alaphilippe’s crash.

Of the three, Alaphilippe has had the least amount of success in 2021 so far. He’s only had one win on the season whereas Wout Van Aert has had three wins and Van Der Poel has had four wins this year to date.

I believe that Van Aert and Van Der Poel are the two best riders in this race, but don’t count out the French star in Alaphilippe.

Wout Van Aert wins Gent-Wevelgem

Belgian beats Giacomo Nizzolo to the line in a sprint from a small grouphttps://t.co/GZNb0fq6DJ pic.twitter.com/ImosRmDnFy

— Cyclingnews.com (@Cyclingnewsfeed) March 28, 2021

All we have to do is look back at Stage 2 of Tirreno-Adriatico to see how Alaphilippe beat both Van Aert and Vander Poel for the stage win.

With that said, I am going with Wout Van Aert to get the win on Sunday.

He is Belgian’s top cycling star in the sport today and he will want to win arguably the country’s biggest bike race. Furthermore, he was edged out by his rival Van Der Poel last year and would love to avenge that loss.

Van Aert has looked strong in his limited appearances this year. His win at Gent-Wevelgem reassured that he’s on top form.

When you add in all of the extra motivations for this race, I believe Van Aert will find the strength at the end to edge out Van Der Poel and Alaphilippe for the win.

Pick: Van Aert

Odds: +400

$100 Could Win You…$500.00

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed “King of the Blog” in his first year with the site. …

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