Estrada vs Gonzalez II Betting


On Saturday, March 13th, Matchroom Boxing presents a live card from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, featuring the super flyweight rematch between Juan Francisco Estrada and Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez.

The co-featured bout is a rematch between Jessica McCaskill and Cecilia Braekhus as they battle for the undisputed welterweight championship.

Also on the main card, which begins at 8PM ET on DAZN, will see Hiroto Kyoguchi defend his junior flyweight title against Axel Aragon Vega.

As of now, most boxing betting sites only have odds listed for the main event. However, the other main card fights are expected to have odds by the end of the week, if not sooner.

Roman ‘Chocolatito’ Gonzalez and Juan Francisco Estrada will be meeting this Saturday night on March 13th, in the headliner on DAZN from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.

— @boxingP4Pnews (@boxingP4Pnews) March 8, 2021

Matchroom Boxing promoter Eddie Hearn made the following comments about this exciting boxing event:

“Cecilia and Jessica will put it all on the line in their rematch for the undisputed Welterweight title and Hirotu is a fighter that I am excited to see explode onto the big stage under the guidance of his manager Eddy Reynoso and Matchroom. With a brilliant main event in the rematch between Estrada and Chocolatito and plenty of young talents to be added to the card, this is an unmissable feast of fights for the fans in Dallas and on DAZN.”

Jessica McCaskill vs Cecilia Braekhus

Jessica McCaskill (+135)
Cecilia Braekhus (-165)

In their first fight, McCaskill was the large boxing betting underdog listed between +350 and +450 odds. Braekhus was the large favorite with odds ranging from -530 to -835.

This time around, the odds are much closer with McCaskill still listed as the underdog at +125 to +140 and Braekhus the favorite with odds ranging from -160 to -175.

Whichever way you decide to go with this bout, there’s plenty of value with each fighter especially McCaskill who won the first fight but is still viewed as the underdog in the rematch.

McCaskill vs Braekhus Preview

Jessica McCaskill
Cecilia Braekhus
Total Fights

As mentioned, this will be a rematch as the two women fought in August 2020 where McCaskill won via majority decision.

Heading into their first contest, McCaskill was on a three fight winning streak. She last lost in December 2017 against one of the sport’s top stars Katie Taylor via unanimous decision.

Coming into this rematch, McCaskill had some critical comments for her opponent:

“I feel the last fight was the last one of her career. Once someone shows that weakness, shows they are not in it and alludes to retirement that shows that they are mentally out of the game. I feel great – every time I have had to fight for a belt, it’s been from a champion. Cecilia, you have fought for vacant titles, I’ve had to take mine from everyone I fought from, I’ve never just fought for a vacant title and it’s heads or tails on who is going to win it.”

Prior to their first fight, Braekhus had never lost in her pro career. She racked up an impressive 36-0 resume and had held at least one title since 2009. She became the undisputed welterweight champ in 2014 when she captured the last title within the division.

For six years, Braekhus reigned over the weight class until losing to McCaskill last year. There were some whispers that she might retire following the loss. But, that didn’t turn out to be the case.

Now, she’s looking to get her belts back as Braekhus believes that she’s the better fighter:

“I felt I won the fight, it was very close, I could have got the decision. A lot of people thought I won and it’s not the way to lose your belts. I know I am a better fighter than Jessica, I had a bit of an off day, but I feel I did what I needed to do to retain my belts, but I was not at home. I was on her home turf and she got the belts.”

Who Wins the Rematch?

This is going to be another close fight. McCaskill got the decision with the following scores: 95-95, 97-94, 97-93. I think this time around, the gap will be a little big greater in favor of McCaskill.

I don’t see any reason to think there will be a different outcome. The American showed that she was the better fighter between the two last August and she will show it again this weekend.

Jessica McCaskill vs Cecilia Braekhus –McCaskill (NA)

Hiroto Kyoguchi vs Axel Aragon Vega

Hiroto Kyoguchi (-1300)
Axel Aragon Vega (+700)

There isn’t a lot of betting data on Kyoguchi’s recent fights. His last bout to register any betting odds was when he captured the WBA super light flyweight title in 2019 against Hekkie Budler.

Light flyweight champ and Eddy Reynoso backed Hiroto Kyoguchi makes his US debut next Saturday on the #EstradaChocolatito2 undercard ??✨

(via @HirotoK1127)

— DAZN Boxing (@DAZNBoxing) March 4, 2021

In that contest, Kyoguchi was a -190 to -280 favorite. He comes into this contest with odds ranging from -1200 to -1450.

Vega is the #10 ranked fighter in the WBA and is a huge underdog with odds in the range of +600 to +800 at online betting sites.

Kyoguchi vs Vega Preview

Hiroto Kyoguchi
Axel Aragon Vega
Total Fights

Vega is 4-2 in his last six pro fights with both of those losses coming against Wilfredo Mendez in 2018 and 2019. He last competed in August and won via unanimous decision against Saul Juarez.

For the 20 year old Mexican, this will be the first world title fight of his career. Vega made the following comments about his opponent:

“We do know him. We have seen it on YouTube, as we are analyzing it; He is a fighter who is fierce, who goes for the front, but we are also fierce and there we are going to give ourselves a shot.”

For Kyoguchi, this will be third defense of his WBA super light flyweight title. As mentioned above, he captured the belt in 2018 when he defeated Budler via 10th round TKO. He won his first two title defenses via unanimous decision and last competed in October 2019.

Despite being out of the ring for nearly 17 months, Kyoguchi signed a multiyear deal with Matchroom Boxing last December. This will be the first fight in the United States and the champ is looking to do his best for the new audience:

“It’s hard to stand on the stage of the United States, and there aren’t many champions who have stood in the American ring. I’m grateful and I want to do my best.”

Can Vega Pull off the Upset?

Kyoguchi has a six inch height and reach advantage in this contest. Not to mention, he’s just the better overall fighter. I don’t see a path to victory for Vega other than luck.

This is going to be a solid performance for Kyoguchi, but I don’t think he will get the TKO/KO win. Vega has never been stopped in his career and I believe he will survive this world title fight.

Jessica McCaskill vs Cecilia Braekhus –Kyoguchi (NA)

Juan Francisco Estrada vs Roman Gonzalez

Juan Francisco Estrada (-165)
Roman Gonzalez (+145)

In their first bout, Gonzalez was the favorite, but that’s changed for this contest as he’s the underdog with odds ranging between +110 and +150. Estrada is listed with odds ranging from -150 to -180.

Saturday March 13th@AACenter * Dallas TX

The Rematch
Pound for Pound Kings
Future Hall of Famers
WBA * WBC * @ringmagazine Titles
Pride ?? vs Pride ??
Estrada vs Gonzalez ll @mcuban Boxing > Basketball

— Jim Boone (@kotickets) March 3, 2021

For Estrada, he’s been the favorite in most of his fights for the last handful of years. Gonzalez has been the favorite for most of his fights as well except against Khalid Yafai a year ago.

There’s value with each fighter’s moneyline.

Estrada vs Gonzalez Preview

Juan Francisco Estrada
Roman Gonzalez
Total Fights

The first fight between these two combatants took place in 2012 and was hailed as an epic war. Both fans and pundits were clamoring for a rematch between the two, but never thought it would take 8 ½ years to come to fruition.

In that 12 round war, Gonzalez was the more impressive fighter as he continued to throw combinations all match long. This ultimately gave “Chocolatito” the unanimous decision victory.

To this day, Estrada says he struggled to make the 108 pound limit. He believes that the rematch, which will be contested at 115 pounds, is the best weight for him and it will produce a different outcome.

Does Gonzalez Still Have Enough Left in the Tank?

Following their first fight, Gonzalez would go on to become one of the pound for pound best in the sport. He tallied off 12 straight wins after beating Estrada and was ruling the division until he faced Srisaket Sor Rungvisai in 2017.

Sor Rungvisai won their first bout via majority decision in March 2017. They had an immediate rematch six months later and this time Gonzalez was KO’d in the 4th round.

At this point of his career, many critics thought he was done. But, Gonzalez proved he still had something left as he would go on to win four straight fights including defeating Khalid Yafai via 9th round TKO for the WBA super flyweight title 13 months ago.

He last fought in October where he beat Israel Gonzalez via unanimous decision.

As for the upcoming rematch, Gonzalez was very diplomatic in his comments:

“I already know how he boxes, everything is going to be seen from the moment the bell rings. It is really going to be a very tough fight and you are going to see that when the fight happens. When you prepare the best you can physically and mentally – you do things well at the moment of the fight.”

Is Estrada the Better Fighter Now?

Following the first bout against Gonzalez, Estrada went on to win 10 in a row before taking on Srisaket Sor Rungvisai in February 2018. Like Gonzalez, Estrada would come up short as he lost via majority decision.

The two would rematch in April 2019 and Estrada scored a unanimous decision victory to capture the WBC super flyweight title. He has defended that belt twice with both victories coming via TKO.

As for his upcoming rematch against Gonzales, Estrada wasn’t as diplomatic. Instead, he was very confident in his chances for winning:

“In my career I only have three defeats, I have avenged two of them and the only one I am missing is Roman. I feel capable of beating him because I already fought with him, I know his weaknesses, so we are focused on winning convincingly. We are bringing in a strategy to come out with everything, to go for the intelligent knockout.”

Will Fight Go to a Decision?

The online betting settings believe that this world title fight will go the full 12 rounds and I agree. Although both men have knockout power, they appear to be destined for another 12 round war.

Since their first fight, Estrada has nine bouts go the distance and Gonzalez five. They each have many TKO/KO wins since then, but these two know each other so well that this rematch will go to the scorecards.

Will Fight Go to a Decision? –Yes (-260)

Who Wins the Rematch?

Once with the judges, Estrada is favored to win at +125 odds compared to Gonzalez at +260. I believe Estrada is the more complete fighter in this rematch. Both men will come out ready to attack, but they will do so at different paces.

Gonzalez came out slowly in the first fight and I see him looking to do the same. Estrada came out quickly and he’s already mentioned how he plans on outworking Chocolatito in this rematch.

I like what I’ve seen from Estrada since his big win over Sor Rungvisai two years ago. He appears to be dialed in and firing on all cylinders.

I expect the 30 year old Mexican fighter to win this match via unanimous decision and avenge his 2012 loss just like he avenged his other two defeats when he had the chance.

Juan Francisco Estrada vs Roman Gonzalez – Estrada (-165)

Fight goes the distance (-260)

Estrada wins via unanimous decision (+125)

What Happens Next for the Winner?

For the Estrada vs Gonzalez rematch to even take place, Srisaket Sor Rungvisai (41-3, 28KOs) had to agree to step aside and allow it to happen. The WBC released the following statement when the rematch was first announced:

“This highly anticipated rematch is made possible due to the exemplary acceptance and sportsmanship of mandatory contender Srisaket Sor Rungvisai, who has agreed to temporarily step aside to allow this great fight to happen.”

Who’s the man? Srisaket Sor Rungvisai predicts Juan Francisco Estrada-Roman Gonzalez 2 outcome

— Pugilist Steve ? (@PugilistSteve) March 8, 2021

Rungvisai was the #1 contender in the WBC, but he agreed to step aside to allow Estrada vs Gonzalez II. The WBC came out and said that Rungvisai will get to fight the winner in August or September:

“Rungvisai will keep his mandatory status and #1 ranked position at WBC Super flyweight, and will get to fight for the WBC Title next by August/September 2021 against the winner of Juan Francisco Estrada vs Roman Gonzalez.”

If the fight ends in a Draw or a No Contest, Rungvisai still gets to compete for the WBC title that Estrada currently holds.

This was a smart choice for Rungvisai. Ultimately, he will get to fight the winner who will have two of the four major world titles. And, he’s already defeated each man at least once.

Unlike other divisions where champs duck each other, the super flyweight division is on the right path as the WBC made the right choice for the fans and the fighters by allowing the Estrada vs Gonzalez rematch to take place first.

Srisaket Sor Rungvisai will be fighting this weekend as well. He’s taking on Kwanthai Sithmorseng in Thailand on March 12th. It’s a fight he should easily win.

Estrada vs Gonzalez II Fight Card

Juan Francisco Estrada and Roman Gonzalez in a 12 round WBC and WBA super flyweight fight
Hiroto Kyoguchi vs Axel Aragon Vega in a 12 round WBA junior flyweight title fight
Jessica McCaskill vs Cecilia Braekhus in a 10 round undisputed welterweight championship clash
Austin Williams vs Aaron Coley in an 8 round middleweight contest
Otha Jones vs Jorge David Castaneda in an 8 round lightweight clash
Raymond Ford vs Aaron Perez in an 8 round featherweight fight
Souleymane Cissokho vs TBA in an 8 round junior middleweight contest
James Wilson vs TBA in a 6 round heavyweight bout

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at to become the self-professed “King of the Blog” in his first year with the site. …

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